20169 * : 0.73 0.54 - - ; : ( 2009; 2011) ( 2007; 2009; 2012) ( 2009; 2009; 2010) :(1) ( 2010; 2011; 2011) ;(2) ;(3) (Oliver & Mossialos2004;Tao et al 2014) * :264209 :yanglin2128@126.com lisiyunsd@163.com ( :14AGL022) 57
( 2010; 2011; 2011) ( 2009; 2011; 2014) ( 2010) ( 2009) ( 2014) Arrow (1963) - - - ( 2010; 2014; 2014); ( 2014; 2014); ; ( 2010; ( ) 2014; 2014) ; (2015) (Ihori& Na- ( ) kamoto2005;balarajanetal2011;colinsetal 1. 2014 2012) 981432 25860 36902 1 58
2. 1 ( 2007 2014 2) 30% 1 ( ) / / 2009 2126302 2290310 0.93 5.54 2.41 2.30 2010 2302297 2484534 0.93 5.94 2.60 2.28 2011 2475222 2684667 0.92 6.24 2.80 2.23 2012 2733403 2991372 0.91 6.88 3.11 2.21 2013 2948465 3233426 0.91 7.36 3.35 2.20 2014 3169880 3431334 0.92 7.84 3.54 2.21 : 2015 20169 2 / / / 2009 7.15 2.94 2.43 2.83 1.31 2.16 2.82 0.81 3.48 2010 7.62 3.04 2.51 2.97 1.32 2.25 3.09 0.89 3.47 2011 6.68 2.66 2.51 2.62 1.10 2.38 2.62 0.79 3.32 2012 8.54 3.41 2.50 3.19 1.40 2.28 3.65 1.09 3.35 2013 9.18 3.64 2.52 3.39 1.48 2.29 4.00 1.22 3.28 2014 9.70 3.77 2.57 3.54 1.51 2.34 4.30 1.31 3.28 : 2015 1 3 20092014 20092.5 2009 2.98 20141.73 2009 3.87 2013 2.54 3. ( 2008) 59
9% WHO 2013 5 ( 4) 5 4626 3.4% 1.8% 5% 3311 71.57% 3 ( ) ( ) / / 2009 856.40 287.50 2.98 2176.60 562.00 3.87 2010 871.80 326.00 2.67 2315.50 666.30 3.48 2011 969.00 436.80 2.22 2697.50 879.40 3.07 2012 1063.70 513.80 2.07 2999.30 1064.80 2.82 2013 1136.10 668.20 1.70 3234.10 1274.40 2.54 2014 1305.60 753.90 1.73 : 2015 4 2013 (%) 1 63.9 71 72.1 74.6 66.3 56.7 63.2 60 47 1~2 16.7 15.1 15.2 13.4 16.8 18.3 18.4 18 18.6 2~3 9.7 7.7 8.4 5.7 9.2 11.6 10.3 11.8 12.8 3~4 4.2 3.1 2.7 3.2 3.5 5.3 3.8 4.4 7.8 4~5 2.1 1.3 0.7 1.4 1.6 3 1.9 2.3 4.9 5 3.4 1.8 0.9 1.7 2.7 5 2.5 3.4 9 15 84 87.8 93 88.8 81.6 80.2 90.4 81.1 69.1 16~20 7.9 6.9 4.8 7 8.9 8.9 6.1 9.2 11.5 20 8.1 5.3 2.2 4.2 9.5 10.9 3.5 9.7 19.4 :2013 ( ) 1. ;(5) (1)(2)(3)(4) 2015 (5) 2015 2. (01) 5 :(1) ;(2) ;(3) ;(4) 60
3. (1) Yang(1999) : I 1=r uλui u 1+r rλri 1+ r r kλkln(λk) k k=(ur)u r ;r u r r ;λuλr 5 20169 5 2007 0.0949 0.0904 0.0683 0.1700 0.1609 2008 0.0860 0.0889 0.0682 0.1599 0.1498 2009 0.0810 0.0914 0.0701 0.1663 0.1322 2010 0.0786 0.0955 0.0760 0.1619 0.1079 2011 0.0732 0.0942 0.0847 0.1490 0.0725 2012 0.0709 0.0922 0.0758 0.1479 0.0604 2013 0.0689 0.0920 0.0756 0.1411 0.0330 2014 0.0691 0.0940 0.0783 0.1386 0.0348 5 2 20072014 0.161 0.035 (2006) ( ) 78.26% (01) ; 0.095 0.070 r U r R r U +r R=1x U x R x i 0(i=UR) x i x=r Ux U +r Rx R α : 2007 0.090 0.068 2 20140.094 0.078 r i (x i-x) 1-r m i=1 α= x r m r U r R α=0 x R =x U x U =0 槡 r m n x R 0 x=r Rx R x R =0x U 0 x=r Ux U α=1 α=1 x U =0x R= x r R x R=0 2 : (2) Wiliamson(1965) x U = x α=1 r U β= 1 3 t=123 r tm 1-r tm 槡 2 r ti (x ti-x t ) i=ur x t 61
t=1 ;t=2 ;(3)20072014 ;t=3 r i (i=ur) 3 4 0.8 :(1) : - - ( ) 3 1. Gupta & Verhoeven(2001) (2011) 4 ; α 0.4-0.4<α 0.6-0.6<α 0.8 α>0.8 5 3 : 1: 0.73 0.54 2: 2011 4 3: ; 4: 5: 0.5 ;(2)2007 2014 2. - - 0.73 0.54 62
20169 6 ( ) : y=λ y η+ε (1) 6 (x1) / 1000 (x2) (x3) / 1000 (x4) (x5) DEA (x6) - (y1) ( y2) (y3) (x7) (x8) (x9) (1) : x=λ x ξ+δ (2) ;y (2) ξ x 3 Λ x ; ;ε y ;δ x Λ x 5 6 (3) : η=bη+γξ+ζ (3) (3) B Γ B Γ 5 (1) - - - ; ζ 7 63
6 ( 7 (3) ) 5 γ11 γ12 γ13 β 21 γ24 5 : 1 2 3 γ11 γ12 γ130 ; 4 β 0 21 ; 5 γ240 β 12 γ14 0 1( +β ) 12 2( +γ14) (2) ( ) 7 20092014 2 ; ; 4 ; 7 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5.54 5.94 6.24 6.88 7.36 7.84 47774 53004 54871 53520 60529 69560 7.15 7.62 6.68 8.54 9.18 9.7 33.5 32.6 31.4 30.3 28.8 28.7 24.3 24.9 25.7 26.7 27.6 29.2 DEA 0.931 0.936 0.96 0.949 0.941 0.915 ( ) 40.15 42.79 46.46 50.5 53.77 55.63 2176.6 2315.5 2697.5 2999.3 3234.1 3487.5 17174.7 19109.4 21809.8 24564.7 26955.1 29381 856.4 871.8 969 1063.7 1136.1 1305.6 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.2 5.2 4.8 26.6 29.7 25.2 22.2 22.4 20.5 64
20169 7 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2.41 2.6 2.8 3.11 3.35 3.54 38380 41785 44284 46779 51737 57182 2.94 3.04 2.66 3.41 3.64 3.77 15.1 14.9 21.9 14.9 14.3 14.5 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.7 7.5 7.8 DEA 0.851 0.836 0.858 0.849 0.860 0.862 15.38 15.59 16.25 18.38 19.37 20.39 562 666.3 879.4 1064.8 1274.4 1424.3 5153.2 5919 6977.3 7916.6 8895.9 9892 287.5 326 436.8 513.8 668.2 753.9 17 16.1 14.7 12.4 11.3 10.7 34 30.1 26.5 25.6 23.6 22.2 SEA SRMR GFI AGFI NFI CFI (1)λ y 11 λ 22 1 y 1 ; (2) 1 1 10% 1 2 9 (1) (2) 8 1 0.51~0.94 (CR) 0.6 χ 2 /df CFI PGFI 1 0.5 1 ; 2 RM- 8 1 2 χ 2 /df <2.00;<3.00 2.64 2.66 2.85 RMSEA <0.05;<0.08 0.07 0.07 0.08 SRMR <0.05;<0.08 0.05 0.05 0.06 GFI >0.90; 0.95 0.89 0.89 0.88 AGFI >0.90; 0.95 0.89 0.89 0.88 NFI >0.90; 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.90 CFI >0.90; 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.90 IFI >0.90; 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.91 PGFI >0.50 0.66 0.62 0.58 PNFI >0.50 0.72 0.72 0.70 PCFI >0.50 0.72 0.72 0.70 65
9 (1) (2) (CR) (AVE) 1 1 1 0.80 1.12 0.65 1 0.72 1.08 0.90 0.70 0.59 0.77 0.67 1 0.65 0.25 0.51 0.14 0.82 0.74 0.64 DEA 1 1 1 0.62 0.89 0.68 0.56 0.94 0.66 0.58 10 (3) γ11 γ12 γ13 γ21 γ24 0.27 0.27 * 1 0.40 0.40 * 2 0.15 0.15 * 3 0.04 0.32 ** 4 0.02 0.35 ** 5 :* ** 10% 5% 10 (3) : 0.27 10% 0.32 5% 4 1 7 0.35 5% 5 0.40 10% 5 2 :(1) 0.15 0.27 10% 3 0.40 (2) 66
0.32 (3) 0.35 ( ) ( ) ; ; 20169 : 2010: 1 2010: : 7 2010: : 9 2009: 5 ( ) 2009: 7 67
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