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1 ( ) :,,,,, :,, WTO,,,,,, ;, (,1999) : 20,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 1996,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,, ;,,,,, 60

2 2001 9,,, 1999,, (Lin et al,1999),,,,,,, 1 :A B ( ) S A B S B A,,, 1, I A B,, CC C 1 C 1 DD D 1 D 1, O, CC DD, CC DD,CC 1,, CC, A B,, DD, B,,,,,,, Lin, Justin Yifu. Development Strategy,Viability and Economic Convergence, The Inaugural D. Gale Johnson Lec2 ture, Department of Economics, the University of Chicago, May 14, ( ), 61

3 A,,,,,, 1, CC, A,, A,,, A,,,,, ;,, CC, A,,, CC DD, B,,,,,,,, ( ),,, 1, B, :,, S A ;, DD, A,,, 2,I 1 I 2 I 3 I 3,,, I 3 I 2,I 2 I 1, C 1 C 1, I 1, A 1 ( ),, A, B,,,,,,,,IBM 50,Intel 30 ;, ;,,,,,, ( ),,, 1, :, 1 62

4 2001 9,, C 3 C 3, I 3 A 3 2 :I 1 I 2 I 3, C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2 C 3 C 3, 1 A 1 A 2 A 3 2 I 1 I 2 I 3, 2, I I 1 I 2 I 3, 3,, H M L H M L,H,L, C 1 C 1, L M A 1 A 2,,, H,, C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2, L M M H H, L,,,,,,,,,,,, 3,, C 1 C 1, L M, H, L M, A 1 A 2, H,,,, C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2, 63

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7 ,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,, 1978,,,,,,, 20,,,20,,,, 1978,,,,,,,,,,,, 4,,,,,,,,, : ( ),,1999, 2, 66

8 2001 9,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, : (1), ; (2) ; (3),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ( ),,, Justin Yifu Lin and Guofu Tan. Policy Burden, Accountability, and the Soft Budget Constraint, American Economic Review, Vol. 89, No. 2 (1999), pp ,,,,,,,,,, 20,,,,,,, 67

9 , ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :,,,,, WTO,,,,,,,,,, 4 C 3 C 3 C 1 C 1 WTO, ( ),,,,,,,,,,,, : 11,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 21,,,, 1999 ( 2000 ),,

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11 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 21,,2001 3,,,,2000 :,, No. C ,1994 :,,1999 :,,,1994 : :,,1997 :,,1999 : :,,1994 :,,,1999 :, Lin, Justin Yifu., Development Strategy and Economic Convergence, The Inaugural D. Gale Johnson Lecture, Department of Economics, the University of Chicago, May 14, Lin,J. Y.,Cai,F.,and Li,Z., (1998) Competition, Policy Burdens,and State - Owned Enterprises Reform American Economic Review, vol. 88 (2),pp ,1998 Lin,J. Y.,and Tan,G., (1999) : Policy Burdens,Accountability and Soft Budget Constraint, American Economic Review,vol ( : ) ( : ) 70

WTO GDP 9.4% GDP 8.1% , , % 15.7% ( 1999) (GATT)

WTO GDP 9.4% GDP 8.1% , , % 15.7% ( 1999) (GATT) WTO 1 WTO (1) (2) (3) WTO (4) WTO (5) WTO (6) WTO WTO 1 yangihsun@yahoo.com.tw 1 WTO 1979 1979 2003 GDP 9.4% GDP 8.1% 2003 8512.1 4,383.7 4,128.4 1978 97.5 108.9 25 16.4% 15.7% 2003 2 20 1 2 3 4 5 ( 1999)