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1 Leader's Note (Inductive Reasoning)(Deductive Reasoning)(Linear Extrapolation)(Delphi Method) (Cross Impact Analysis)(Scenario Analysis) (Wild Card)(Black Swan) (No Regret Policy) (Precautionary Principle) (Regret Point) (Vulnerable) Please Everybody ARUP ARUPEmployee-owned Company 03

2 Did You Know? 03 (No Regret Policy) (Precautionary Principle) Arup , (Employeeowned Company) ECFA 20 Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement 04

3 20 Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement ECFA WEF 25 World Economic Forum WEF 1971 TRL 26 Technology Readiness Level IOH 38 IOH( Innovation Open House) IOH IOH 05

4 BIG FUTURE (MIC) 06

5 D&MS IMAX BIG FUTURE 07

6 BIG FUTURE 10% 08

7 BIG FUTURE Know-how 09

8 BIG QUESTIONS (Arup) (MIC) ThinkWave (Employeeowned Company) Arup Arup 10

9 Arup Arup BIG QUESTIONS (Arup) Arup 2007 Arup Arup (Sir Ove Arup) 1970 Arup (Quality of Work) (Total Architecture) (Humane Organisation (Straight and Honourable Dealings) (Social Usefulness) (Reasonable Prosperity of Members) Arup ThinkWave (We don t want to be the biggest. We want to be the best.) Arup 11

10 BIG QUESTIONS Arup (25%) Arup Arup 40%~45% 25% 20%~30% Arup (25%) Arup Arup University 2002 Arup (Outcome) (Strategy) We shape a better world ThinkWave? 12

11 Arup ThinkWave? Arup Arup Arup Arup Arup BIG QUESTIONS 13

12 BIG QUESTIONS Arup Arup 4 5 Arup Four years, and you are still with Arup? There must be something wrong with you! Arup ThinkWave Arup

13 Arup Arup Louis Vuitton Arup Arup ThinkWave 2008 Arup Arup Arup 4,000 Arup ThinkWave Arup 40 BIG QUESTIONS 15

14 BIG QUESTIONS MIC ThinkWave

15 BIG QUESTIONS Alice H. Amsden Beyond Late Development: Taiwan's Upgrading Policies -- Globalization 1980 ThinkWave

16 BIG QUESTIONS ThinkWave 18

17 BIG QUESTIONS

18 BIG QUESTIONS ThinkWave ECFA Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement

19 ECFA ThinkWave 1980 Émile Durkheim BIG QUESTIONS

20 FOCUS (KEC) 1. As-Is High volume electronics To-Be Leading in health and well-being The lab is our world The world is our lab Let's make things better Sense & Simplicity innovation & you KEC CRT TVCD DVD 22

21 20 - FOCUS Let's Make Things Better Sense and SimplicityInnovation and You 1. 2x2x2 / (Outside In) (Inside Out CEO CEO KEC

22 FOCUS FOCUS CEO CEO Pankaj Ghemawat, Pedro Nueno (2004). Revitalizing Philips A and Revitalizing Philips B, Harvard Business School Case# , Case# ~ about/investor/financialresults/annualreports/index.page 24

23 INNOVATION TO-BE (KEC) INNOVATION TO-BE EF 1.WEF KEC WEF GDP (a) (b) (c) 1 GDP 2,000 GDP 3,000 17,000 GDP 17,000 25

24 INNOVATION TO-BE 2. (Technology Readiness Level, TRL) 2 TRL(Technology Readiness Level ) TRL 1-9 (TRL 6-9) ( TRL 1-6) 3 System Test, Launch & Operations System/ Subsystem Developmetn Technology Demonstration Technology Developmetn Research to Prove Feasibility Basic Technology Research KEC TRL 9 TRL 8 TRL 7 TRL 6 TRL 5 TRL 4 TRL 3 TRL 2 TRL 1 26

25 WEF KEC INNOVATION TO-BE WEF 1 WEF 1 2. FP7 Organization EC (M euro) %EC VTT % Helsingin Yliopisto % Aalto-Korkeakoulusaatio % Turun Yliopisto % Oulun Yliopisto % FP7 EC (M euro) %EC ICT % Health % NMP % energy % Food, agriculture and fisheries, % and biotechnology Organization ICT Health NMP energy Food & Others VTT Helsingin Yliopisto Aalto-Korkeakoulusaatio Turun Yliopisto Oulun Yliopisto KEC

26 INNOVATION TO-BE 1 2 Nokia ICT (Clean Tech) 3 FP7 ( 2) 1 ICT 2 Health 3 NMP VTT ICT NMP Health 4 VTT SHOK (Centres for Science, Tech-nology and Innovation) WEF WEF [3] KEC INNOVATION TO-BE 2008? FP7 1. The Global Competitiveness Report 2012~2013, WEF, NASA TRL Meter,

27 TOPIC TOPIC (KEC) OECD

28 TOPIC 1. / / KEC Robert Lucas 2 2 Robert Lucas (1990). "Why doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?". American Economic Review 80 (2): KEC Lucas AnnaLee Saxenian (Science Technology Engineering Mathematics STEM) 96%

29 TOPIC KEC (1) (2) 31

30 TOPIC TOPIC TOPIC (3) 5. 32

31 BIG SOCIETY BIG SOCIETY (Asset) (Resource) (Place) 33

32 BIG GENERATION (MIC) , % ,730 8,600 1,

33 BIG % GENERATION 1. 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, (2012) MIC

34 BIG ENVIRONMENT NGO - BIG ENVIRONMENT

35 BIG EVENT 18/30 AteenThirty 18/30 AteenThirty BIG EVENT? (MIC) /30AteenThirty /30AteenThirty 18/30 Ateen Thirty Ateen Ambitious Top Eager to change Energetic New idea (Interactive Story Telling) (Personal Influence)

36 BIG EVENT 18/30 AteenThirty 1830 BIG EVENT /30AteenThirty 2011 IOH 1830! 18/30AteenThirty 38

37 BIG SCENERY BIG SCENERY Oct. No. 14 ISSN (02) (02)

2013. May. No.8 C O N T E N T S 03 Leader's Note 04 Did You Know? Leader's Note 06 Big Future 2020 (1) 10 Big Questions 20! 就 5 985 9951005 1015 101 1

2013. May. No.8 C O N T E N T S 03 Leader's Note 04 Did You Know? Leader's Note 06 Big Future 2020 (1) 10 Big Questions 20! 就 5 985 9951005 1015 101 106 5 9956 ECFA 產業空間布局的創新思惟 23 Focus 27 Topic