Xu 2007 Leamer 995 Rodrik 2006 Schott 2006 cross-product vertical differentiation within product Schott 2006 Hallak 2006 Hallak and Schott 200

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "6 202 4 Xu 2007 Leamer 995 Rodrik 2006 Schott 2006 cross-product vertical differentiation within product Schott 2006 Hallak 2006 Hallak and Schott 200"

夏丽祝
7 years ago
Views:

1 202 4 World Economic Papers August, 202 HS- 6 * Adams et al % lvarez and Claro 2007 Devlin et al Blázquez-Lidoy et al % 75% 43% * yongbingchen@ 63. com vivi030303@ 63. com lingduo_2007@ 63. com 09&ZD033 0YJC

2 Xu 2007 Leamer 995 Rodrik 2006 Schott 2006 cross-product vertical differentiation within product Schott 2006 Hallak 2006 Hallak and Schott 2008 Hansen and Nielsen lvarez and Claro 2006a HS CEPII-BACI lvarez and Claro 2006a Leamer 987 Harrigan 997 Schott

3 Schott 2004 HS-0 withinproduct specialization ISIC-4 80 lvarez and Claro 2006b Schott 2004 Brooks 2006 Verhoogen 2008 Verhoogen 2008 Aw and Roberts 986 Feenstra 988 Schott 2004 Hallak 2006 Schott OECD GDP OECD Schott 2006 Hallak 2006 Hallak and Schott 2008 Hansen and Nielsen 2008 Schott Finger and Kreinin 979 Schott 2006 OECD OECD OECD lvarez and Claro 2006a 0. 5% Xu 2006 Kandogan 2005 intensive margin extensive margin

4 Amiti and Freund HS-8 25% HS-0 7% Hummels and Klenow 2005 Schott 2006 Hallak 2006 Hallak and Schott 2008 Hansen and Nielsen HS-6 lvarez and Claro 2006a CEPII-BACI HS CIF CEPII-BACI HS992 5

5 HS-6 % % CEPII-BACI % %. 85% 5. 36% % 9. 64% Hummels and Klenow 2005 c r ROW t c r S c r S t = M ct M rt = M cjt j N ct M rjt j N rt M ct t c N ct t c HS-6 M ct M rt t r N rt HS-6 S t = j N ct M rjt j N rt M rjt M cjt j N ct = E t I t 2 M rjt j N ct Hummels and Klenow 2005

6 E t r c r r I t c r c r c r c r c r c r c r I t I t = P t X t 3 HS-6 j c r P t = P cjt /P rjt ω jt j N ct X t = X cjt /X rjt ω jt j N ct cjt - rjt ( ln cjt - ln ) cjt - rjt rjt j N ct ln cjt - ln rjt rjt r j CEPII-BACI 0 ω jt ω jt = cjt c j c r HS % % % CEPII-BACI % c r

7 % 6. 34% 6. 34% %. 7% % % 2. 24% 0. 2% % % 28. 5% 3. 74% % % % -. 4% Amiti and Freund HS-0. 5%

8 HS-6 HS-6 Schott 2004 HS HS-6 35 LnP jit = α jt + δ LnI it + ε jit 4 P jit t i HS-6 j / I it i t GDP δ 3 δ GDP 0%. 64% 4 LnP jit = α jt + δ LnI it + β CHN + ε jit 5 CHN β 3 2 CHN δ β % Schott GDP 4 LnP jit = α jt + δ LnI it + β CHNa + β 2 CHNb + ε jit 6 CHNa CHNb δ β % 35

9 β GDP 2 3 LnP jit LnP jit LnP jit LnI it *** *** *** CHN *** CHNa CHNb *** Constant *** *** *** N R t *** ** * % 5% 0% HS-6 HS-6 lvarez and Claro 2006a - δ δ j j - δ + δ j = z j U z j = k q kj a utility shifter σ j = / - θ j q kj n kj x z kj θ j θ j < j 7 k z j j

10 q kj t k j z k j x z kj n k j z k j X z kj = n kj x z kj z δ j Y z = n kj p z kj x z kj 8 k Y z z p z kj z k j z k j θ j x z kj θ j - = λz j p z kj 9 q kj λ z j τ z kj > k j z p z kj = p kj τ z kj j c r 9 x z θ cj ( x ) j - = pz cj z rj p z rj ( ) ( ) qrj q cj 0 0 z c r j s = h k l ks l ks s k Y k = h k L k L k l kj = f j + m kj x kj f j m kj c j k x k cj τ k cjc j p cj = h c m cj Krugman 980 η j = / - θ j z p cj /p rj = h c /h r m cj /m rj h k BACI HS-6 x kj X z kj = n kj x z kj θ j h k

11 X z cj ( X ) = pz cj z rj p z rj ( ) ( ) - σ j qcj q rj ( ) σ j ncj n rj z c r j c r j n cj = n n j = f m j q j ω c ω z τ j rj = Y c /Y r m j = m cj /m rj j q j = q cj /q rj ω c = h c /h r c r ω z = h z /h r z r τ j 2 j c r = m j = q j = ω c = ω z τ j n j = c r home market effect Krugman 980 n j / > 0 c c ω c c j z r ω z n j / ω c < 0 z m - σ j j q σ j j ω - σ j cj > n j / ω z > 0 n j / m j < 0 n j / q j > 0 n j c r j 2 j 2 m j = p z j /ω c z c r j X z j = X z cj /X z rj 2 LnX z jt = b j + a 0j a j - σ j - Lnp z jt + a 0j Ln t - a 0j a j Lnω ct + a 0j a j σ j Lnq jt + a 0j a 2j Lnω zt + a 3j Lnτ jt 3 a ij n jt b j q jt = e δ 0j + δ t q jt = q jct /q jrt z c r j lvarez and Claro 2006a

12 a ij = a i δ = δ j eu c r 3 j LnX eu jt = α 0j + α t + α 2 Lnp eu jt + α 3 Ln jt + α 4 Lnω cjt + α 5 Lnω eujt + α 6 Lnτ jt + υ jt 4 4 α δ = - ( α 2 + α 4 + ) 2 4 X eu jt j t p eu jt j 3 jt GDP GDP 4 ω cjt ω eujt α 4 α 5 5 τ jt j HS-6 α Pooled Data Panel Data OLS LSDV FGLS 4 LM F OLS Hausman α 2 α lnq jt = lnq cjt - lnq rjt = δ 0j + δ t δ CEPII-BACI GDP WDI GDP WDI UNCTAD TRAINS Lnτ jt = Ln + tariff jt

13 OLS LSDV FGLS OLS LSDV FGLS LnX jt LnX jt LnX jt LnX jt LnX jt LnX jt Lnp jt *** *** *** *** *** *** Ln jt * *** *** ** *** *** Lnω cjt *** *** * *** *** Lnω eujt *** *** * *** *** Lnτ jt *** *** ** t *** *** *** *** 4. 0 Constant *** *** *** *** sample R 2 within between overall F LM Hausman < < p jt 2 t *** ** * % 5% 0% c /r %. 086% α 3 WTO α 4 α %

14 a 5 b 95% a 4 b Bernard et al skill content of exports Branstetter and Lardy % Amiti and Freund HS-6 200

15 Gaulier et al Rodrik 2006 Adams F. G. B. Gangnes and Y. Shachmurove 2006 Why is China So Competitive Measuring and Explaining China's Competitiveness The World Economy lvarez R. and S. Claro 2006a The China Phenomenon Price Quality or Variety Working Paper Central Bank of Chile 4. lvarez R. and S. Claro 2006b The China Price Evidence and Some Implications Estudios de Economia lvarez R. and S. Claro 2007 David Versus Goliath The Impact of Chinese Competition on Developing Countries Manuscript Central Bank of Chile and Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Amiti M. and C. Freund 200 An Anatomy of China's Export Growth World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No Aw B. Y. and M. J. Roberts 986 Measuring Quality Change in Quota-Constrained Import Markets Journal of International Economics Bernard A. B. J. Bradford Jensen and P. K. Schott 2006 Survival of the Best Fit Exposure to Low-Wage Countries and the Uneven Growth of US Manufacturing Plants Journal of International Economic Studies Blázquez-Lidoy J. J. Rodríguez and J. Santiso 2006 Angel or Devil China's Trade Impact on Latin American Emerging Markets OECD Development Centre Working Paper Branstetter L. and N. Lardy 2006 China's Embrace of Globalization NBER Working Paper No Brooks E Why Don't Firms Export More Product Quality and Colombian Plants Journal of Development Economics Devlin R. A. Estevadeordal and A. Rodríguez 2006 The Emergence of China Opportunities and Challenges for Latin America and the Caribbean David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies and Inter-American Development Bank. Feenstra R. C. 988 Quality Change under Trade Restraints in Japanese Autos Quarterly Journal of Economics 03 3-

16 Finger J. M. and M. E. Kreinin 979 A Measure of Export Similarity and Its Possible Uses The Economic Journal Gaulier G. F. Lemoine and D. nal-kesenci 2007 China's Emergence and the Reorganization of Trade Flows in Asia China Economic Review Hallak J. C. and P. K. Schott 2008 Estimating Cross-Country Differences in Product Quality NBER Working Paper No Hallak J. C Product Quality and the Direction of Trade Journal of International Economics Hansen J. D. and J. U. M. Nielsen 2008 Price as an Indicator for Quality in International Trade Working Papers. Harrigan J. 997 Technology Factor Supplies and International Specialization Estimating the Neoclassical Model American Economic Review Hummels D. and P. J. Klenow 2005 The Variety and Quality of a Nation's Exports American Economic Review Kandogan Y How Much Restructuring Did the Transition Countries Experience Evidence from Quality of Their Exports Comparative Economic Studies Krugman P. 980 Scale Economies Product Differentiation and the Pattern of Trade The American Economic Review Leamer E. E. 987 Paths of Development in the Three-Factor n-good General Equilibrium Model Journal of Political E- conomy Leamer E. E. 995 The Heckscher-Ohlin Model in Theory and Practice Princeton Studies in International Finance. Rodrik D What's So Special about China's Exports China and World Economy Schott P. K One Size Fits All Heckscher-Ohlin Specialization in Global Production The American Economic Review Schott P. K Across-Product versus Within-Product Specialization in International Trade Quarterly Journal of Economics Schott P. K The Relative Sophistication of Chinese Exports NBER Working Paper No Verhoogen E. A Trade Quality Upgrading and Wage Inequality in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector Quarterly Journal of Economics Xu B Measuring the Technology Content of China's Exports Manuscript China Europe International Business School. Xu B Measuring China's Export Sophistication Manuscript China Europe International Business School

2. 1%, % 3. 3% 6. 9%? Harrigan Barrows( ) 2005, 2005,,,,, ;, Harrigan Barrows , %, 5% ;, 2%, 7%, 2005, 21%, Ha

2. 1%, % 3. 3% 6. 9%? Harrigan Barrows( ) 2005, 2005,,,,, ;, Harrigan Barrows , %, 5% ;, 2%, 7%, 2005, 21%, Ha 3 2005 2005, 2005, 2005 7, 2005 17%, 2006 6%, 2005, 2006, (MFA), MFA 1995, (W TO) (ATC), MFA ATC, (1995 1998 2002 2005 ) 2001 W TO, 2002 2005 ATC,, W TO,, 2005, (B rambilla et al., 2007) 2005 7 21, 3 :